So, is it a foregone conclusion that Villagers will win? Perhaps (and hopefully) not: 5/2 with Paddy Power at the time of writing, tight but hardly unbackable: www.paddypower.com/bet/music/choice-music-prize

Still great value on other runners: Cathy Davey at 8/1 and Two Door Cinema Club at 10/1 - surely worth a punt. (I'd be happy if either of those two won. Or, basically, anyone except Villagers.)

Runners and riders (10 go to post):

Adebesi Shank “This is the Second Album of a Band called Adebisi Shank” (Richter Collective)
The Cast of Cheers “Chariot” (Self release)
Cathy Davey “The Nameless” (Hammer Toe Records)
Fight Like Apes “The Body of Christ & The Legs of Tina Turner” (Model Citizen)
Halves “It Goes, It Goes (Forever & Ever)” (Hate is The Enemy)
Imelda May “Mayhem” (Universal)
James Vincent McMorrow “Early in The Morning” (Universal)
O Emperor “Hither Thither” (Universal)
Two Door Cinema Club “Tourist History” (Kitsune)
Villagers “Becoming a Jackal” (Domino)